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Pessimism Appears to Be the Intellectually Serious Position
Pessimism Appears to Be the Intellectually Serious Position

Pessimism Appears to Be the Intellectually Serious Position

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Naval Ravikant, Brett Hall
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4 Clips
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May 17, 2021
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0:00
If you're an academic of some kind, then being able to explain all of the problems that are out there and how dangerous these problems are and why you need funding in order. To look at these problems in more depth that's appears to be the intellectually, serious position. Someone who claims that we can solve this. It sounds a little bit Kumbaya even though it's quite right that in fact, collaboration, cooperation and resource exploitation will actually be the thing that's going to drive this, the knowledge economy forward so that we can solve all these problems. It always seems more.
0:30
Actually serious. If you can stand up there with a frown on your face, in front of a tedtalk audience and say these are all the ways in which we're going to fail and which we're going to come to
0:37
ruin. I'm guilty of having to quoted one of these Doom syrup podcast about ended up blowing up the Earth. But that was the one podcast that I regretted the most. We had a great conversation but I don't fundamentally agree with any of the conclusions that might come out of that. We see the world is going to end so we should slow down. The only way out is through progress in subsequently I haven't promoted as much as a promoted my other podcast and upon reading Deutsch I realized
1:00
Why is because it's easy to be a pessimist, it's an easy trap to fall into, but it implies that humans are not creative. It doesn't acknowledge all the ways that we have innovated our way out of previous traps and fundamentally entrepreneurs are inherently optimistic because they get rewarded for being optimistic. As you're saying, intellectuals, get rewarded for being pessimistic. So there is always a lot of incentive bias here as an academic, you may be incented to be pessimistic as an entrepreneur. You may be incented to be optimistic if you're a
1:29
We missed you, get your feedback from other people, it's a social act, your convincing other people of your pessimism and so far, most of the pessimistic predictions have turned out to be false. If you look at me timelines on, which the world was supposed to end or environmental catastrophes were supposed to happen, they've been quite wrong, but if you look at the optimistic entrepreneurs, they are rated by feedback from nature and free markets, which I believe are much more realistic feedback mechanisms.
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