We're three months into the war. If you had made a judgment about, let's say, the Nazi invasion of the Soviet Union, a definitive judgment, after three months, you might have got the outcome wrong there. If you had judged the Winter War, the 1939/1940 Soviet invasion of Finland, after three months, you would have got that wrong, too... So, we're early in the game here, and we have to be careful about any definitive judgments.